Splainer

Thursday, November 26 2020


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Today, football died.

That’s what a fan in Naples said as the world mourned the death of Diego Maradona—who was discovered dead of a likely heart attack in Buenos Aires, Argentina. He had been recovering from brain surgery. 

Big Story

India’s flawed ‘death rate’

The TLDR: In part one of this series, we explained Delhi’s rising number of deaths. Today, we look at India’s death toll or Case Fatality Rate—often touted as the lowest in the world. But a closer look shows that the numbers and methodology are greatly flawed. No, this doesn’t mean there are vast numbers of deaths that have been covered up. But it reveals serious problems with our data—and suggests that we may have far less reason to be smug about ourselves.

 

The Case Fatality 

This is the most widely quoted statistic. And it basically shows what percentage of recorded cases led to death. Today, the total number of cases = 9,222,216. The total number of deaths = 134,699. So we divide the total deaths by total cases, and express that result as a percentage. Today, our CFR is 1.46%. In comparison, the United States CFR today is 2%.

 

But numerous experts point out that both the numerator and denominator are deeply flawed in this calculation—and hence, so is the result.

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In today’s edition

Headline That Matter

  • Scotland makes menstruation history
  • The end of Huffington Post India
  • Twitter brings back the blue tick
  • India’s Oscar bid: Jallikattu
  • Meghan reveals a painful loss

 

I Recommend 

  • How Devi Gianetti is turning a curse (pandemic) into a blessing (self-knowledge)
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